Osadchaya G.I., Vartanova M.L. Identification of the dynamics of changes in Russia's human potential in the context of the experience of Eurasian integration. Economic and social changes: facts, trends, forecast. 2022. Vol. 15. No. 3. pp. 223-235.

Abstract

The problem of identifying the dynamics of changes in the human potential of the Eurasian Economic Union is in the focus of attention of the member countries of the Union, and each of them independently acts against economic and political risks and threats on the way to ensuring its national demographic security. Russia has formulated and operates its own systems for assessing and monitoring demographic security. However, due to the fact that the problem of ensuring demographic security of the countries of the Eurasian Economic Union has a complex character, it must be considered and solved through the implementation of state programs not only within a certain country, but also within the framework of the Eurasian Economic Union as a whole. The authors of the study aim to identify negative trends in demographic development in all post-Soviet countries during the collapse of the USSR, which led to a decrease in human potential in Russia and other countries, to substantiate the system of indicators and indices of demographic security in the context of Eurasian integration. The resource opportunities of the countries of the Eurasian Economic Union, which open up with the beginning of the functioning of the unified integration association, are considered, the characteristics of trends, problems, contradictions of integration processes are given. Based on the comparative analysis of the demographic situation in the member countries of the Union, we can talk about the general indicators of crisis changes: a decrease in the birth rate, an increase in mortality, increased mobility of the population, although each country in these years was characterized by its own special dominants. The authors' systematic measurements of the dynamics of changes in Russia's human potential in the context of integration processes, based on the idea of an empirical model of integration, planning and forecasting within the framework of the Eurasian Economic Union, allowed to formulate quantitative and qualitative signs of the functioning of the demographic development of the participating countries, to develop a number of significant recommendations. The results of the work can be used in the development of the state policy of Russia and the countries of the European Economic Union in the field of ensuring the stability of demographic security in the conditions of integration.

Content (in russ)