Dobrokhleb V.G. (2024). Demographic dynamics of the ethnonational regions of the Russian Federation in the twenties and early thirties of the 21st century. Problems of Territory’s Development, 28 (6), 112–122. DOI: 10.15838 ...

Текст статьи на сайте журнала URL: http://pdt.volnc.ru/article/30139 (дата обращения 06.12.2024)

Abstract

The demographic challenge is one of the most important barriers to Russia’s socio-economic development and may change its position as one of the most populated countries on the world map. Eight counties are projected to provide the highest population growth by 2050: Democratic Republic of Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Tanzania and Egypt. This will change the ranking of the world’s most populous countries. Under such conditions, Russia will lose its status as one of the most populated countries by the middle of the 21st century – in 2022, it ranked 9th in the ranking of the most populated countries. Its distinctive features are multi-ethnicity and multi-confessionalism. The specificity of Russia lies in the fact that the institutionalization of ethnicity within the federal structure is formalized by the presence of ethno-territorial autonomies in the form of republics and autonomous districts, which is associated, among other things, with the existence of primordial vision of ethnicity both at the household and expert levels. In the context of demographic challenges facing the country, studies of demographic dynamics in ethno-national regions become relevant both in scientific and applied aspects. The scientific problem that this study aims to solve is to identify and interpret changes in the gender and age composition of the population of ethno-national regions of Russia in the second and early third decade of the 21st century, to determine the dynamics of the population of national regions for the period from 2011 to 2023, as well as to formulate proposals for adjusting the directions of demographic policy within the framework of the National Policy Strategy of the Russian Federation until 2025 and beyond. The demographic challenge is one of the most important barriers to Russia’s socio-economicdevelopment and may change its position as one of the most populated countries on the worldmap. Eight counties are projected to provide the highest population growth by 2050: DemocraticRepublic of Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Tanzania and Egypt. Thiswill change the ranking of the world’s most populous countries. Under such conditions, Russia willlose its status as one of the most populated countries by the middle of the 21st century – in 2022, itranked 9th in the ranking of the most populated countries. Its distinctive features are multi-ethnicityand multi-confessionalism. The specificity of Russia lies in the fact that the institutionalization ofethnicity within the federal structure is formalized by the presence of ethno-territorial autonomiesin the form of republics and autonomous districts, which is associated, among other things, withthe existence of primordial vision of ethnicity both at the household and expert levels. In the contextof demographic challenges facing the country, studies of demographic dynamics in ethno-nationalregions become relevant both in scientific and applied aspects. The scientific problem that thisstudy aims to solve is to identify and interpret changes in the gender and age composition of thepopulation of ethno-national regions of Russia in the second and early third decade of the 21stcentury, to determine the dynamics of the population of national regions for the period from 2011to 2023, as well as to formulate proposals for adjusting the directions of demographic policy withinthe framework of the National Policy Strategy of the Russian Federation until 2025 and beyond.