Dmitriev A. V., Voronov V. V., Mikhaylova E. A. Predictive modelling of inter-ethnic relations in Russian regions based on the analysis of identity strategies of Diaspora and ethnic communities. Monitoring of Public Opinion: Economic and Social Changes. 2017. № 6. P. 98—125. Dmitriev A. V., Voronov V. V., Mikhaylova E. A. Predictive modelling of inter-ethnic relations in Russian regions based on the analysis of identity strategies of Diaspora and ethnic communities. Monitoring of Public Opinion: Economic and Social Changes. 2017. № 6. P. 98—125.ISSN 2219-5467DOI DOI: 10.14515/monitoring.2017.6.06.Posted on site: 12.01.18Текст статьи на сайте журнала URL: https://wciom.ru/fileadmin/file/monitoring/2017/142/2017_142_06_Voronov.pdfAbstractThe article explores the strategic interaction of socio-ethnic groups in the regions of polyethnic Russia. It is established that the diasporas and ethnic communities, along with the rest of the local population, are active subjects (actors) of regional societies and significantly affect all aspects of life in the regions.The complex structure of relationships, different actors, characterized by multidimensional identification, on the one hand determines the social-identity features of a particular region, and on the other — is determined by them. Therefore, the processes, adaptation, integration, diasporas and compatriots in regional societies are a bilateral process that includes the externalization of value orientations, norms and rules of regional and local communities, taking into account the interests of diaspora and land groups on the one hand, internalization of these landmarks, norms and rules in diasporas and on the basis of all-Russian identification. The research of this bilateral process was carried out on the basis of the development of socio-cultural ethnic models: primordial, constructivist, instrumentalist. The ratio of identified identification strategies, their role in optimizing ethno-group and social-territorial identity in the context of national security is determined.