Maksimova A.S., Ryazantsev S.V., Lukyanets A.S., Moiseeva E.M. Methodological bases for assessing socio-demographic and migration consequences of man-made disasters. Amazonia Investiga, 2020, Vol. 9, Issue 29, pp. 213-223.

Текст статьи на сайте журнала URL: https://www.amazoniainvestiga.info/index.php/amazonia/article/view/1387/1238 (дата обращения 09.06.2020)

Abstract

The purpose of the research is to develop methodological bases and principles for assessing the socio-demographic (including migration) consequences of man-made disasters. A method of rapid assessment of possible outgoing migration flows that may occur in the event of a man-made emergency of various scales is proposed. The initial data for this method are quantitative statistical register data on housing stock and population, as well as operational data on the scale of destruction obtained using contactless methods of information collection. The author summarizes the legal acts regulating the work on prevention and elimination of consequences of man-made and other emergencies in Russia, as well as establishing the principles for assessing their consequences. The author proposes a rearrangement of the set of consequences of man-made disasters, including three main directions of the impact of emergency situations on various spheres: demographic (including damage to life and health, as well as the migration component), socio-economic, and natural and environmental. Indicators reflecting the consequences of the disaster have been developed for each of the areas. The necessity of creating a classifier of man-made disasters in order to forecast their consequences is substantiated.